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Research Market report

South Milwaukee Corridor, WI hotel market report, Q2 2026

  • Oak Creek
  • Franklin
  • Caledonia
  • Mount Pleasant
  • Racine
  • Sturtevant
  • Somers
  • Pleasant Prairie
  • Kenosha
  • Bristol
  • Racine County
  • Kenosha County
  • Milwaukee County

From Oak Creek to Kenosha, RevPAR +9.9% to $65.77 on 64.2% occupancy (+7.0%) and a $102.37 ADR, all above ten-year ranges.

The hotel market running south from Milwaukee down I-94 to the Illinois line is at a cyclical high. Over the twelve months to June 2026 its hotels ran 64.2% occupancy, a $102.37 ADR and $65.77 RevPAR, each at or above the top of its ten-year range, with RevPAR +9.9% on the year.

The South Milwaukee Corridor: ten communities along I-94
SomersBristolMilwaukee Mitchell International AirportOak CreekCaledoniaRacineSturtevantKenoshaSomersBristolMilwaukee Mitchell International AirportHwy 120US 12US 41I-43New BerlinMuskegoWaukeshaVernonSalem LakesRaymondSomersBristolMilwaukee Mitchell International AirportOak CreekCaledoniaRacineSturtevantKenoshaSomersBristolMilwaukee Mitchell International AirportUS 41MuskegoRaymond

Boundaries, roads and water: U.S. Census Bureau (TIGER/Line).

Executive summary

Occupancy, 12 months

64.2%

+7.0% YoY

ADR, 12 months

$102.37

+2.7% YoY

RevPAR, 12 months

$65.77

+9.9% YoY

Existing hotels

71

4,844 rooms

The South Milwaukee Corridor is one contiguous hotel market, not one town: ten communities (Oak Creek, Franklin, Caledonia, Mount Pleasant, Racine, Sturtevant, Somers, Pleasant Prairie, Kenosha and Bristol) tied together by shared demand. Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport sits at its northern edge, a dense I-94 logistics belt runs through the middle, and a once-in-a-generation wave of investment is anchored by Microsoft's Fairwater data-center campus in Mount Pleasant.

CoStar tracks 94 hotels inside the corridor's custom boundary, 71 of them existing and operating, with 4,844 inventory rooms. Performance is measured on CoStar's 5,086-room analytic pool of reporting hotels. All three measures now sit at or above the top of their ten-year ranges.

Momentum is strong. RevPAR is +9.9% on the year, from occupancy +7.0% and ADR +2.7%. The pipeline is modest and entirely extended stay: six projects, 616 rooms, none under construction yet, a sign developers expect the corridor's project and logistics workforce to keep filling rooms. The big question for investors is durability: how much of today's strength is structural, and how much rides on the temporary construction phase of the Microsoft build-out.

CoStar market snapshot, June 2026
Hotels tracked94 (71 existing and operating)
Inventory rooms4,844
Analytic (reporting) pool5,086 rooms
Under construction0 rooms
Recently opened, last 12 months81 rooms (1 hotel)
Market cap rate11.0% (prior 10.8%)
Sale price per room$63K

The market

The corridor covers Wisconsin's southeastern lakeshore: the southern third of Milwaukee County and most of Racine and Kenosha counties. Interstate access and Lake Michigan anchor both ends, and it works as one labor and lodging market: Oak Creek in the north to Kenosha in the south is about 35 minutes, with Chicago's O'Hare and the Loop 60 to 90 minutes further south. Sitting midway between Milwaukee and Chicago on the state's busiest interstate is its defining feature.

Racine and Kenosha counties have about 360,000 residents together, and hotel demand here is overwhelmingly commercial rather than driven by residents. Over the last decade the economy has pivoted from legacy manufacturing to logistics and distribution and now to hyperscale data centers. The I-94 frontage has filled with fulfillment and warehouse buildings, and the former Foxconn site in Mount Pleasant, now owned by Microsoft, has become the largest private investment in Wisconsin history.

IndicatorValueNotes
Communities covered10Oak Creek to the Illinois line
Combined county population~360,000Racine and Kenosha counties
Largest employerUline (~3,800)Pleasant Prairie headquarters and Kenosha hub
Signature investmentMicrosoft Fairwater$7B+ data-center campus, Mount Pleasant
Primary corridorInterstate 94The Chicago-Milwaukee freight and travel spine
Air serviceMilwaukee Mitchell International5.87M passengers in 2025; $95M international terminal underway
Major area employers, approximate headcount
Uline (Pleasant Prairie)Uline (Pleasant Prairie) · Employees: 3,8003,800Amazon (Kenosha)Amazon (Kenosha) · Employees: 3,0003,000Microsoft Fairwater (Mount Pleasant)Microsoft Fairwater (Mount Pleasant) · Employees: 900900Froedtert / Ascension (healthcare)Froedtert / Ascension (healthcare) · Employees: 2,5002,500Snap-on (Kenosha)Snap-on (Kenosha) · Employees: 1,5001,500Uline (Pleasant Prairie)Uline (Pleasant Prairie) · Employees: 3,8003,800Amazon (Kenosha)Amazon (Kenosha) · Employees: 3,0003,000Microsoft Fairwater (Mount Pleasant)Microsoft Fairwater (Mount Pleasant) · Employees: 900900Froedtert / Ascension (healthcare)Froedtert / Ascension (healthcare) · Employees: 2,5002,500Snap-on (Kenosha)Snap-on (Kenosha) · Employees: 1,5001,500

Microsoft Fairwater is permanent jobs at full build-out.

Source: Company reports, 2025-2026

Employees
Uline (Pleasant Prairie)3,800
Amazon (Kenosha)3,000
Microsoft Fairwater (Mount Pleasant)900
Froedtert / Ascension (healthcare)2,500
Snap-on (Kenosha)1,500

New supply

New supply is restrained and all extended stay, a direct read on what developers expect the Microsoft and logistics build-out to need. CoStar shows no rooms under construction. Six projects with 616 rooms are in the planning pipeline, all rooms-only or kitchenette extended-stay hotels.

Under construction

No hotels are under construction in the corridor.

Final planning

Four projects have reached final planning, with permits or site work expected soon: WoodSpring Suites Mount Pleasant (122 rooms, ~2027), WoodSpring Suites Pleasant Prairie (122 rooms, ~2027), TownePlace Suites by Marriott Kenosha (94 rooms, ~2028) and Home2 Suites by Hilton Pleasant Prairie / Kenosha (86 rooms, ~2027). The WoodSpring and Home2 projects cluster around Pleasant Prairie and Mount Pleasant, right next to the Uline and Microsoft job centers.

Proposed

Two projects are proposed (announced, not yet permitted): WoodSpring Suites Oak Creek (122 rooms, ~2028) and Candlewood Suites Somers (70 rooms, ~2029).

ProjectRoomsStatusEstimated opening
WoodSpring Suites Mount Pleasant122Final planning~2027
WoodSpring Suites Pleasant Prairie122Final planning~2027
TownePlace Suites by Marriott Kenosha94Final planning~2028
Home2 Suites by Hilton Pleasant Prairie / Kenosha86Final planning~2027
WoodSpring Suites Oak Creek122Proposed~2028
Candlewood Suites Somers70Proposed~2029
Hotel supply pipeline, 616 rooms
WoodSpring Suites Oak CreekWoodSpring Suites Oak Creek · Proposed: 122 rooms122 roomsWoodSpring Suites Mount PleasantWoodSpring Suites Mount Pleasant · Final planning: 122 rooms122 roomsWoodSpring Suites Pleasant PrairieWoodSpring Suites Pleasant Prairie · Final planning: 122 rooms122 roomsTownePlace Suites KenoshaTownePlace Suites Kenosha · Final planning: 94 rooms94 roomsHome2 Suites Pleasant PrairieHome2 Suites Pleasant Prairie · Final planning: 86 rooms86 roomsCandlewood Suites SomersCandlewood Suites Somers · Proposed: 70 rooms70 roomsWoodSpring Suites Oak CreekWoodSpring Suites Oak Creek · Proposed: 122 rooms122 roomsWoodSpring Suites Mount PleasantWoodSpring Suites Mount Pleasant · Final planning: 122 rooms122 roomsWoodSpring Suites Pleasant PrairieWoodSpring Suites Pleasant Prairie · Final planning: 122 rooms122 roomsTownePlace Suites KenoshaTownePlace Suites Kenosha · Final planning: 94 rooms94 roomsHome2 Suites Pleasant PrairieHome2 Suites Pleasant Prairie · Final planning: 86 rooms86 roomsCandlewood Suites SomersCandlewood Suites Somers · Proposed: 70 rooms70 rooms

Source: CoStar property data, June 2026

Final planningProposed
WoodSpring Suites Oak Creek122 rooms
WoodSpring Suites Mount Pleasant122 rooms
WoodSpring Suites Pleasant Prairie122 rooms
TownePlace Suites Kenosha94 rooms
Home2 Suites Pleasant Prairie86 rooms
Candlewood Suites Somers70 rooms
Pipeline summary
Projects6
Rooms616
Under construction0
Share of the 4,844-room inventory~12.7%
FormatAll extended stay, in Pleasant Prairie, Mount Pleasant, Oak Creek, Kenosha and Somers

Demand drivers

Demand here is unusually concentrated in corporate, logistics and construction-project segments, with a real leisure layer from the Lake Michigan shoreline and an airport and transient base at the north end. The mix below reflects today's build-out-heavy phase.

Estimated hotel demand by segment
0%10%20%30%40%Corporate andlogisticsConstructionand projectLeisure andlakefrontAirport andtransientGroup andeventsGovernmentCorporate and logistics · Share of demand: 34%Construction and project · Share of demand: 22%Leisure and lakefront · Share of demand: 18%Airport and transient · Share of demand: 14%Group and events · Share of demand: 7%Government · Share of demand: 5%34%22%18%14%7%5%0%10%20%30%40%Corporateand logisticsConstructionand projectLeisureand lakefrontAirportand transientGroupand eventsGovernmentCorporate and logistics · Share of demand: 34%Construction and project · Share of demand: 22%Leisure and lakefront · Share of demand: 18%Airport and transient · Share of demand: 14%Group and events · Share of demand: 7%Government · Share of demand: 5%34%22%18%14%7%5%

Hotel Data Tracking estimates; illustrative.

Source: Hotel Data Tracking estimates

Share of demand
Corporate and logistics34%
Construction and project22%
Leisure and lakefront18%
Airport and transient14%
Group and events7%
Government5%

Corporate, logistics and distribution

Uline anchors the corporate base with about 3,800 employees at its Pleasant Prairie headquarters and Kenosha hub. Its fourth headquarters building (366,000 square feet, up to 1,300 employees) is finishing in spring 2026, and the company has signaled 650+ more jobs in 2026. Amazon runs a 1-million-plus-square-foot fulfillment center and a 750,000-square-foot distribution building in Kenosha's 94 Logistics Park, with 3,000+ employees. The I-94 frontage keeps drawing warehouse and light-industrial tenants whose vendors, auditors, installers and trainers fill rooms midweek.

Construction and project demand: Microsoft Fairwater

The biggest swing factor is Microsoft's Fairwater data-center campus on the former Foxconn site in Mount Pleasant. Microsoft has committed more than $7 billion (with proposed taxable value reported above $13 billion), drew about 2,300 union construction workers during the build, and in January 2026 won approval for 15 more data centers on the site. That construction workforce is a powerful near-term driver of extended-stay and midscale demand, and the reason every pipeline project is rooms-and-kitchenette product. The caveat: finished data centers employ few permanent staff (800 to 900 across the campus at full build-out), so project demand will eventually normalize.

Airport and transient

Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport at the corridor's north end feeds the dense Oak Creek and south-Milwaukee airport hotel cluster. It served 5.87 million passengers in 2025 (-7% on the year) and is building a $95 million international terminal, a long-term positive for airport hotels even as passenger counts soften.

Leisure and lakefront

Racine's and Kenosha's harbors, beaches, museums and summer festivals drive a strong June-to-August leisure peak, with occupancy cresting near 78% in July. The corridor also picks up Chicago-to-Milwaukee drive-market overflow on event weekends.

DevelopmentCategoryStatusHotel demand impact
Microsoft Fairwater campusData centerUnder construction / expandingVery high
Uline fourth headquarters buildingCorporate officeFinishing spring 2026High
Amazon, 94 Logistics ParkLogisticsOperating / expandingHigh
MKE international terminal ($95M)AirportUnder constructionMedium
Racine and Kenosha lakefrontLeisure / tourismOngoingMedium

Performance

All performance figures come from CoStar as of June 2026. Market size is stated on 4,844 inventory rooms; occupancy, ADR and RevPAR are measured on CoStar's 5,086-room analytic pool of reporting hotels, so the two room counts differ slightly by design.

Total market3 monthsYear to date12 monthsPrior 12 months
Occupancy60.5%58.7%64.2%60.0%
ADR$96.47$95.05$102.37$99.86
RevPAR$58.34$55.81$65.77$60.21
Total market by period
0%20%40%60%80%$0$25$50$75$100$1253 monthsYear to date12 months3 months · Occupancy: 60.5%Year to date · Occupancy: 58.7%12 months · Occupancy: 64.2%3 months · ADR: $96.47Year to date · ADR: $95.0512 months · ADR: $102.373 months · RevPAR: $58.34Year to date · RevPAR: $55.8112 months · RevPAR: $65.7760.5%58.7%64.2%$96.47$95.05$102.37$58.34$55.81$65.770%20%40%60%80%$0$50$100$1503 monthsYear to date12 months3 months · Occupancy: 60.5%Year to date · Occupancy: 58.7%12 months · Occupancy: 64.2%3 months · ADR: $96.47Year to date · ADR: $95.0512 months · ADR: $102.373 months · RevPAR: $58.34Year to date · RevPAR: $55.8112 months · RevPAR: $65.77

Source: CoStar, June 2026

OccupancyADRRevPAR
3 months60.5%$96.47$58.34
Year to date58.7%$95.05$55.81
12 months64.2%$102.37$65.77

Against the last ten years, every measure is above its normal range:

10-year context (CoStar, 2016-2026)Typical range10-year averageNow (12 months)
Occupancy52.7% to 62.0%57.3%64.2%: above the range
ADR$80.19 to $96.13$88.16$102.37: above the range
RevPAR$43.03 to $58.64$50.82$65.77: above the range
Sale price per room$53.8K to $60.1K$62.5K: also at the high end
Total market, 12-month trailing performance
COVID impact40%50%60%70%$20$40$60$80$100$120201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262016 · Occupancy: 55.0%2017 · Occupancy: 57.0%2018 · Occupancy: 58.5%2019 · Occupancy: 60.0%2020 · Occupancy: 42.4%2021 · Occupancy: 53.0%2022 · Occupancy: 60.0%2023 · Occupancy: 59.5%2024 · Occupancy: 58.0%2025 · Occupancy: 60.0%2026 · Occupancy: 64.2%2016 · ADR: $752017 · ADR: $802018 · ADR: $842019 · ADR: $882020 · ADR: $702021 · ADR: $822022 · ADR: $922023 · ADR: $952024 · ADR: $972025 · ADR: $1002026 · ADR: $1022016 · RevPAR: $412017 · RevPAR: $462018 · RevPAR: $492019 · RevPAR: $532020 · RevPAR: $302021 · RevPAR: $442022 · RevPAR: $552023 · RevPAR: $572024 · RevPAR: $562025 · RevPAR: $602026 · RevPAR: $66$10264.2%$66COVID impact40%50%60%70%$0$25$50$75$100$1252016201820202022202420262016 · Occupancy: 55.0%2017 · Occupancy: 57.0%2018 · Occupancy: 58.5%2019 · Occupancy: 60.0%2020 · Occupancy: 42.4%2021 · Occupancy: 53.0%2022 · Occupancy: 60.0%2023 · Occupancy: 59.5%2024 · Occupancy: 58.0%2025 · Occupancy: 60.0%2026 · Occupancy: 64.2%2016 · ADR: $752017 · ADR: $802018 · ADR: $842019 · ADR: $882020 · ADR: $702021 · ADR: $822022 · ADR: $922023 · ADR: $952024 · ADR: $972025 · ADR: $1002026 · ADR: $1022016 · RevPAR: $412017 · RevPAR: $462018 · RevPAR: $492019 · RevPAR: $532020 · RevPAR: $302021 · RevPAR: $442022 · RevPAR: $552023 · RevPAR: $572024 · RevPAR: $562025 · RevPAR: $602026 · RevPAR: $66$10264.2%$66

2016-2019 are estimated from CoStar's ten-year ranges; 2020 is the COVID low; 2021-2024 values are read from the chart; 2025 and 2026 are CoStar's prior and current 12-month figures, rounded.

Source: CoStar, June 2026

OccupancyADRRevPAR
201655.0%$75$41
201757.0%$80$46
201858.5%$84$49
201960.0%$88$53
202042.4%$70$30
202153.0%$82$44
202260.0%$92$55
202359.5%$95$57
202458.0%$97$56
202560.0%$100$60
202664.2%$102$66
Monthly occupancy and ADR, 2025 vs. 2026
0%20%40%60%80%$80$90$100$110$120$130JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan · Occupancy 2025: 48%Feb · Occupancy 2025: 55%Mar · Occupancy 2025: 58%Apr · Occupancy 2025: 60%May · Occupancy 2025: 64%Jun · Occupancy 2025: 75%Jul · Occupancy 2025: 78%Aug · Occupancy 2025: 76%Sep · Occupancy 2025: 69%Oct · Occupancy 2025: 67%Nov · Occupancy 2025: 57%Dec · Occupancy 2025: 53%Jan · Occupancy 2026: 54%Feb · Occupancy 2026: 58%Mar · Occupancy 2026: 61%Apr · Occupancy 2026: 63%Jan · ADR 2025: $85Feb · ADR 2025: $90Mar · ADR 2025: $91Apr · ADR 2025: $93May · ADR 2025: $100Jun · ADR 2025: $113Jul · ADR 2025: $121Aug · ADR 2025: $115Sep · ADR 2025: $105Oct · ADR 2025: $102Nov · ADR 2025: $97Dec · ADR 2025: $90Jan · ADR 2026: $88Feb · ADR 2026: $90Mar · ADR 2026: $91Apr · ADR 2026: $100$100$900%20%40%60%80%$80$100$120$140JanMarMayJulSepNovJan · Occupancy 2025: 48%Feb · Occupancy 2025: 55%Mar · Occupancy 2025: 58%Apr · Occupancy 2025: 60%May · Occupancy 2025: 64%Jun · Occupancy 2025: 75%Jul · Occupancy 2025: 78%Aug · Occupancy 2025: 76%Sep · Occupancy 2025: 69%Oct · Occupancy 2025: 67%Nov · Occupancy 2025: 57%Dec · Occupancy 2025: 53%Jan · Occupancy 2026: 54%Feb · Occupancy 2026: 58%Mar · Occupancy 2026: 61%Apr · Occupancy 2026: 63%Jan · ADR 2025: $85Feb · ADR 2025: $90Mar · ADR 2025: $91Apr · ADR 2025: $93May · ADR 2025: $100Jun · ADR 2025: $113Jul · ADR 2025: $121Aug · ADR 2025: $115Sep · ADR 2025: $105Oct · ADR 2025: $102Nov · ADR 2025: $97Dec · ADR 2025: $90Jan · ADR 2026: $88Feb · ADR 2026: $90Mar · ADR 2026: $91Apr · ADR 2026: $100$100$90

Values read from the chart; 2026 runs through April.

Source: CoStar, June 2026

Occupancy 2025Occupancy 2026ADR 2025ADR 2026
Jan48%54%$85$88
Feb55%58%$90$90
Mar58%61%$91$91
Apr60%63%$93$100
May64%$100
Jun75%$113
Jul78%$121
Aug76%$115
Sep69%$105
Oct67%$102
Nov57%$97
Dec53%$90

Seasonality

The season is strong and lake-driven. Occupancy and rate both bottom out in January and February, build through spring and peak in July (about 78% occupancy and a $121 ADR in 2025) before tapering into fall. 2026 has opened ahead of 2025 in every month so far, which confirms the year-over-year momentum in the trailing figures.

Where the hotels are

This report treats the corridor as a single market rather than comparing it with outside peer cities. The map at the top shows the ten communities; the table gives each one's hotels and rooms.

CommunityHotels trackedExisting hotelsExisting roomsRole
Oak Creek17151,230Airport cluster (north)
Kenosha21171,021Logistics and leisure (south)
Racine16141,009Lakefront and civic core
Sturtevant127414I-94 interchange
Pleasant Prairie74401Uline and outlet retail
Franklin98290South Milwaukee edge
Mount Pleasant32152Microsoft Fairwater
Milwaukee (south and airport)44563Next to the airport
Bristol, Somers and Caledonia600Pipeline only

Own a hotel between Milwaukee and the Illinois line? Request a hotel valuation or ask for a market report on your own market.

Brands and white space

The corridor's 71 existing hotels span the full chain scale, but what stands out is how much of the supply is independent and aging. Independents are 29 of the 71, mostly small, older lakeshore and highway motels in Franklin, Kenosha, Racine and Oak Creek, many built between the 1950s and 1990s. Branded supply leans to upper-midscale select service and economy, with a thin band of upscale full-service and select-service hotels.

SegmentHotelsRepresentative brands and notes
Upscale, full and select service8Crowne Plaza, DoubleTree (Racine and Pleasant Prairie), Delta, Homewood, Staybridge, SpringHill
Upper Midscale17Hampton, Fairfield, Holiday Inn Express, Comfort, Country Inn, Home2, La Quinta
Midscale6Candlewood, avid, Hawthorn, My Place, Best Western
Economy11Super 8, Days Inn, Motel 6, Red Roof, Econo Lodge, Knights Inn, Travelodge
Independent and boutique29Older motels, plus Hotel Verdant, The Stella and the Johnson Foundation Guest House
Hotels by franchise parent
IndependentIndependent · Hotels: 2929WyndhamWyndham · Hotels: 99IHGIHG · Hotels: 99MarriottMarriott · Hotels: 66ChoiceChoice · Hotels: 55HiltonHilton · Hotels: 55Best WesternBest Western · Hotels: 33RadissonRadisson · Hotels: 22OtherOther · Hotels: 33IndependentIndependent · Hotels: 2929WyndhamWyndham · Hotels: 99IHGIHG · Hotels: 99MarriottMarriott · Hotels: 66ChoiceChoice · Hotels: 55HiltonHilton · Hotels: 55Best WesternBest Western · Hotels: 33RadissonRadisson · Hotels: 22OtherOther · Hotels: 33

71 existing hotels.

Source: CoStar property export, June 2026

Hotels
Independent29
Wyndham9
IHG9
Marriott6
Choice5
Hilton5
Best Western3
Radisson2
Other3

Among branded hotels, Wyndham and IHG lead with nine flags each, then Marriott (6) and Choice and Hilton (5 each). Best Western (3) and Radisson's Country Inn & Suites (2) round out the meaningful presence. The branded field is broad but shallow: no parent dominates, and several are represented only by one or two economy or extended-stay flags rather than their full-service or lifestyle brands.

The clearest white space, given the corridor's investment-driven, long-stay demand and its lack of top-tier and lifestyle product, is full-service and upper-upscale brands near the Microsoft and airport nodes, and lifestyle select service in downtown Racine and Kenosha.

Parent families with little or no presenceNotable brands missingBest fit here
HyattHyatt Place, Hyatt HouseHyatt House near Microsoft (extended stay)
Marriott (premium)Courtyard, Residence Inn, ACCourtyard or Residence Inn at the airport or in Mount Pleasant
Hilton (premium)Hilton Garden Inn, TapestryHilton Garden Inn in Racine or Pleasant Prairie
Choice (upscale)Cambria, AscendCambria in downtown Racine or Kenosha
ParentHere now (sample)Premium brands missing
IHGHoliday Inn Express, Staybridge, Candlewood, avid, Crowne PlazaHotel Indigo, a full Holiday Inn
MarriottFairfield, SpringHill, TownePlace (pipeline), DeltaCourtyard, Residence Inn, AC, Moxy
HiltonHampton, Home2, DoubleTree, HomewoodHilton Garden Inn, Tru, Tapestry / Curio

Risks and headwinds

A construction-phase demand cliff

The corridor's strongest tailwind, the Microsoft build-out, is also its biggest risk. Construction room nights are temporary, and a finished data-center campus employs only 800 to 900 permanent staff. As each data center moves from construction to operation, the project demand behind today's extended-stay pipeline will taper, which could leave newly delivered rooms-only hotels exposed.

Extended-stay concentration

All six pipeline projects are extended stay. That matches today's demand but concentrates new supply in one segment. If WoodSpring, Home2, TownePlace and Candlewood open into a softening project market, extended stay could see outsized rate and occupancy pressure.

Aging, independent supply

Nearly 41% of existing hotels are unbranded, and many are small motels built decades ago. That caps the market's blended ADR and creates obsolescence risk; the ten abandoned and demolished projects in CoStar's history for this area point to past overbuilding and failed repositionings.

Softer air traffic and higher cap rates

Mitchell Airport passenger volume fell -7% in 2025, with flat guidance for 2026, a modest drag on the Oak Creek airport cluster. The market cap rate has risen to 11.0% from 10.8%, above its ten-year norm, reflecting higher financing costs and investor caution that weigh on values even as operations improve.

RiskSeverityLikelihoodTime horizon
Construction demand taperHighHighMedium term
Extended-stay oversupplyMediumMediumMedium term
Aging independent stockMediumHighOngoing
Softer air trafficLowMediumNear term
High cap rates and financingMediumHighNear term

Outlook and opportunities

The next 12 to 24 months

The base case is continued strength. Microsoft construction is expanding (15 more data centers approved in January 2026), Uline's fourth headquarters building is opening, and nothing is under construction, so supply and demand favor operators through at least 2026 and 2027. Expect occupancy to hold in the low to mid 60s and ADR to push past $103 to $105 as peak nights stay compressed.

Two to four years

As data centers come online and the construction workforce thins, project demand will normalize and leisure, logistics and the airport will carry more of the load. The extended-stay openings of 2027 and 2028 will test the market's depth. Well-located, well-capitalized hotels should absorb them comfortably; weaker rooms-only product may struggle.

ScenarioOccupancy (12 months)ADRRevPARKey assumption
Base64-65%$104$67Microsoft build continues; modest supply
Upside66-68%$108$73The build accelerates; airport international service grows
Downside59-61%$99$59Construction tapers; extended-stay rooms flood in

Opportunities

  • Value-add repositioning of tired independent and economy hotels near the Microsoft and Uline nodes, where new demand is outrunning quality supply.
  • A full-service or upper-upscale flag, now missing, to capture corporate and group demand the corridor cannot serve today.
  • Lifestyle select service in revitalizing downtown Racine and Kenosha, to capture leisure and lakefront rate premiums.
  • Disciplined acquisitions while cap rates sit at decade highs and before the data centers' operating ramp is fully priced in.

Key takeaways

  1. A market at a cyclical high. Trailing occupancy (64.2%), ADR ($102) and RevPAR ($66) are all at or above the top of their ten-year ranges, with RevPAR +9.9% on the year. By every CoStar measure the corridor is at the strong end of its decade.
  2. Microsoft is the swing factor, both ways. The Fairwater build drives today's extended-stay demand and developer confidence, but its permanent job count is small. The medium-term path depends on how cleanly project demand hands off to logistics, the airport and leisure.
  3. Supply is restrained but one-dimensional. Nothing under construction and a 616-room pipeline that is all extended stay. Scarcity helps operators now; the concentration in one segment is the risk to watch.
  4. There is clear product white space. With 41% independent supply and no upper-upscale or lifestyle flags, the top of the market is underserved: an opening for upper upscale near the airport and Microsoft, and lifestyle select service in downtown Racine and Kenosha.
  5. A buying window while cap rates are high. At 11.0%, above the ten-year norm, pricing is favorable relative to the operating momentum, especially for value-add repositioning near the major job centers.

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Sources and method. Occupancy, ADR, RevPAR, inventory, pipeline, sales and cap rates come from CoStar custom-boundary market data, June 2026. The hotel list and brand and franchise breakdown come from CoStar's export of the 94 tracked properties. Pre-2020 trend values are estimated from CoStar's ten-year ranges. Demand-driver and employer figures come from company reports and public news, 2025-2026. Demand shares and scenario figures are Hotel Data Tracking estimates and are illustrative. Values in the trend and monthly charts are read from the report's charts, as noted under each. Prepared by Reed Gizinski, Hotel Data Tracking.

This report is for information only. It is not an appraisal or a valuation and is not investment advice.

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